Showing posts with label Petroleum. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Petroleum. Show all posts
Friday
Oil prices weak on economic concerns, OPEC target on market share
SINGAPORE – Oil markets were weak on Friday as fresh signs that OPEC will continue to value market share over prices outweighed expectations of a lift when the United States kept interest rates at historic lows.
US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were trading at $46.74 per barrel at 0535 GMT, down 16 cents from their last settlement. Brent prices were at $49.12 per barrel, up 4 cents.
Kuwait, a key producer of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), said on Thursday the oil market would balance itself but that this would take time, indicating support for the group's policy of defending market share despite falling prices.
Other sources at OPEC backed this view saying they expected oil prices to rise by no more than $5 a barrel a year to reach $80 by 2020, with a slowing in rival non-OPEC production growth not enough to absorb the current oil glut.
Oil prices were largely steady, though at low levels, during Asian trading hours despite the U.S. Fed keeping interest rates unchanged on worries over the health of the global economy.
Analysts had suggested a weaker greenback – a usual result of low interest rates – would support oil, as it makes dollar-traded crude cheaper for countries using other currencies.
Yet because the Fed's decision was based on economic concerns, some analysts and traders had a different view.
"Shockingly, one (Fed) official thinks rates need to be cut, and not raised, before the end of 2015. This puts into serious question if there will be any rate raise at all before the end of this year," said Howie Lee of Singapore-based brokerage Phillip Futures.
"The sluggish economy is bound to weigh one way or another," he added.
Also, US lawmakers may be only months away from lifting a four-decade-old ban on most oil exports, although the outlook for oil prices in 2016 and beyond suggests it may be years before traders care.
Front-month WTI crude futures have strengthened this week to their firmest versus Brent since the early days of the US shale oil boom, knocking off 70 percent of their discount to the global benchmark to around $2 per barrel. – Reuters
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West Texas Intermediate
Oil steadies after strong gains as equities rally
LONDON – Oil prices steadied on Friday after bouncing back from six-and-a-half-year lows on recovering equities markets, strong US economic growth and news of low crude supplies from Nigeria.
Oil saw its biggest one-day bounce since 2009 on Thursday, with North Sea Brent and US light crude rising more than 10 percent. US crude is on track for its first weekly gain in nine weeks, ending its longest losing streak since 1986.
Global oil markets have fallen by a third since May and are still well under half their value a year ago thanks to a huge oversupply of fuel and sluggish demand. Worries over China's economy have compounded the falls in recent weeks.
But analysts said oil markets fell too far, too fast and a rebound was on the cards. A stock market rise, strong US growth data and a pipeline outage in Nigeria provided an excuse for a recovery on Thursday, they added.
"A short-covering rally, led by crude oil, pushed commodities higher across the board," analysts at ANZ said in a note to clients.
"Better-than-expected US GDP numbers were the main spark, although the force majeure on... exports from Nigeria extended the gains."
Brent was down 15 cents at $47.41 a barrel by 1015 GMT. It settled $4.42 higher at $47.56 on Thursday. US crude was unchanged at $42.56 a barrel, after ending up $3.96.
Asian shares extended a global rally on Friday with Chinese stocks jumping for the second day following a rocky start to the week.
The US economy grew faster than initially thought in the second quarter on solid domestic demand. Gross domestic product expanded at a 3.7 percent annual pace instead of the 2.3 percent rate reported last month, the Commerce Department said.
Shell's Nigerian unit declared force majeure on Bonny Light crude oil exports on Thursday after shutting two key pipelines in the country due to a leak and theft.
Venezuela has been contacting other members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, pushing for an emergency meeting with Russia to come up with a plan to boost oil prices, the Wall Street Journal reported.
Officials at core OPEC members in the Middle East Gulf say there is little chance of the cartel meeting without the support of Saudi Arabia, which has said it sees no need for a gathering. – Reuters
Tuesday
Oil falls as IEA warns stocks may approach all-time high
LONDON - Brent crude fell below $58 a barrel on Tuesday after the International Energy Agency (IEA) warned that oil prices may decline as stocks continue to increase this year.
Oil stocks held by countries in the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development may come close to the all-time high of 2.83 billion barrels in the middle of 2015, said the IEA, which advises the West on energy policy.
"Despite expectations of tightening balances by end-2015, downward market pressures may not have run their course just yet," the IEA said in a monthly report.
Brent crude LCOc1 slipped 44 cents to $57.90 by 1123 GMT (06:23 am. EST), ending a three-day rally. The benchmark gained more than 9 percent last week, its biggest weekly rise since February 2011.
U.S. crude futures CLc1 dropped to $52.02, down 84 cents.
Vitol chief Ian Taylor, speaking at the International Petroleum Week industry conference, said he expected a "dramatic" build in oil stocks over the next few months but that supply and demand in the oil market would move into balance in the second half of this year.
China's consumer inflation hit a five-year low for January, raising worries about oil demand in the world's second-largest economy.
"Economic activity is slowing, especially in heavy industry and that inevitably weighs on commodities," Michal Meidan, director of independent consultancy China Matters, said in the Reuters Global Oil Forum.
Oil prices received a boost on Monday after a monthly report by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) raised the forecast for 2015 demand for its oil to 29.2 million barrels per day (bpd), up 430,000 bpd from an earlier forecast.
The IEA's medium-term report released on Tuesday predicted demand for OPEC oil would hold at 29.4 million bpd this year, and said U.S. shale oil output growth would pause before regaining momentum.
U.S. crude snapped three days of gains after a preliminary survey showed that U.S. commercial crude stockpiles likely hit a record high last week.
"Another report of strong builds in inventories in this week's EIA market report could halt oil's rally," ANZ bank said, referring to the U.S. Energy Information Administration's stockpile data due on Wednesday.
Elsewhere, Libya's Hariga port has reopened after guards ended a strike over salary payments, and the terminal will start loading tankers once better weather allows, a facility spokesman said. — Reuters
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