Crude oil falls after US growth figures disappoint

TOKYO – Crude futures dropped in early Asian trading on Friday after the release of a report showing that US economic growth had slowed sharply, reinforcing concerns about sluggish demand in a world awash with oil.

US economic growth braked sharply in the third quarter as businesses cut back on restocking warehouses to work off an inventory glut, data showed.

Both of the main crude benchmarks are on track to post their first weekly gains in three weeks, but with oil still being added to inventories, prices are likely to be range-bound in the coming weeks, traders and analysts said.

US crude was down 24 cents at $45.82 a barrel at 0140 GMT, after rising 12 cents in the previous session. The benchmark is on track to post a gain of 2.7 percent this week.

Brent crude fell 11 cents to $48.69 a barrel after ending 20 cents lower on Thursday and is heading for an increase of 1.5 percent this week.

The sluggish US growth figures and weak home sales numbers have tempered the market's positive reaction to government figures earlier in the week showing oil stockpiles last week had increased by 3.4 million barrels, which was below the estimate from an industry group.

That had sent prices sharply higher with US crude rallying nearly $3 a barrel. – Reuters

Oil steadies after strong gains as equities rally

LONDON – Oil prices steadied on Friday after bouncing back from six-and-a-half-year lows on recovering equities markets, strong US economic growth and news of low crude supplies from Nigeria.

Oil saw its biggest one-day bounce since 2009 on Thursday, with North Sea Brent and US light crude  rising more than 10 percent. US crude is on track for its first weekly gain in nine weeks, ending its longest losing streak since 1986.

Global oil markets have fallen by a third since May and are still well under half their value a year ago thanks to a huge oversupply of fuel and sluggish demand. Worries over China's economy have compounded the falls in recent weeks.

But analysts said oil markets fell too far, too fast and a rebound was on the cards. A stock market rise, strong US growth data and a pipeline outage in Nigeria provided an excuse for a recovery on Thursday, they added.

"A short-covering rally, led by crude oil, pushed commodities higher across the board," analysts at ANZ said in a note to clients.

"Better-than-expected US GDP numbers were the main spark, although the force majeure on... exports from Nigeria extended the gains."

Brent was down 15 cents at $47.41 a barrel by 1015 GMT. It settled $4.42 higher at $47.56 on Thursday. US crude was unchanged at $42.56 a barrel, after ending up $3.96.

Asian shares extended a global rally on Friday with Chinese stocks jumping for the second day following a rocky start to the week.

The US economy grew faster than initially thought in the second quarter on solid domestic demand. Gross domestic product expanded at a 3.7 percent annual pace instead of the 2.3 percent rate reported last month, the Commerce Department said.

Shell's Nigerian unit declared force majeure on Bonny Light crude oil exports on Thursday after shutting two key pipelines in the country due to a leak and theft.

Venezuela has been contacting other members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, pushing for an emergency meeting with Russia to come up with a plan to boost oil prices, the Wall Street Journal reported.

Officials at core OPEC members in the Middle East Gulf say there is little chance of the cartel meeting without the support of Saudi Arabia, which has said it sees no need for a gathering. – Reuters

US economy: Consumer spending bolsters second-quarter growth

WASHINGTON -  U.S. economic growth accelerated in the second quarter as solid consumer spending offset the drag from weak business spending on equipment, suggesting a steady momentum that could bring the Federal Reserve closer to hiking interest rates this year.

Gross domestic product expanded at a 2.3 percent annual rate, the Commerce Department said on Thursday. First-quarter GDP, previously reported to have shrunk at a 0.2 percent pace, was revised up to show it rising at a 0.6 percent rate.

The revision to first-quarter growth reflected steps taken by the government to refine the seasonal adjustment for some components of GDP, which economists said left residual seasonality in the data, as well as new source data.

The Fed on Wednesday described the economy as expanding "moderately" while upgrading its view of the labor market and saying housing had shown "additional" improvement. The Fed's assessment left the door open for a possible hike in interest rates in September, which would be the first rise since 2006.

A separate report showed first-time applications for state unemployment benefits increased 12,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 267,000. However, claims remained not too far from their cycle lows.

The dollar extended gains against a basket of currencies, while prices for U.S. Treasury debt fell slightly.

Though second-quarter GDP growth was a bit below economists' expectations for a 2.6 percent rate, the growth composition pointed to firming domestic fundamentals.

A measure of private domestic demand, which excludes trade, inventories and government expenditures, increased at a 2.5 percent rate after rising at a 2.0 percent pace at the start of the year.

Growth in the second quarter was boosted by consumer spending as households used some of the windfall from cheaper gasoline in late 2014 and early this year to go shopping. The strengthening labor market also encouraged consumers to loosen their purse strings.

Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, grew at a 2.9 percent rate from a downwardly revised 1.8 percent pace in the first quarter. Consumer spending was previously reported to have increased at a 2.1 percent rate at the start of the year.

The saving rate fell to 4.8 percent from 5.2 percent.

ENERGY DRAG PERSISTS

Housing also supported the economy in the second quarter, as did exports, and state and local government spending.

However, the energy sector continued to weigh on growth as it struggles with the lingering effects of deep spending cuts by oil-field companies like Schlumberger (SLB.N) and Halliburton (HAL.N) in the aftermath of a more than 60 percent plunge in crude oil prices last year.

Business spending on structures fell at a 1.6 percent rate after stumbling 7.4 percent at the start of the year. Investment on equipment fell at a 4.1 percent rate.

Spending on mining exploration, wells and shafts plunged at a 68.2 percent rate, the largest decline since the second quarter of 1986. This category dropped at a 44.5 percent pace in the first quarter.

But there are signs that the energy spending rout might be nearing an end. Data last Friday showed U.S. energy firms added 21 oil rigs last week, marking the third increase over the past 33 weeks.

Schlumberger said last week it believed the North American rig count may be bottoming and that a slow rise in both land drilling and completion activity could occur in the second half of the year.

Exports rebounded in the second quarter, despite a strong dollar, while imports rose moderately. That left a smaller trade deficit that added 0.13 percentage point to GDP growth.

Inventory investment slowed after the first quarter's brisk pace. Businesses accumulated $110.0 billion worth of merchandise, down from $112.8 billion in the first quarter, good news for the remainder of the year.

With oil prices rising during the second quarter and consumer spending picking up, inflation accelerated sharply.

The personal consumption expenditures price index rebounded at a 2.2 percent rate, the fastest since the first quarter of 2012, after falling at a 1.9 percent rate at the start of the year. Excluding food and energy, prices increased at a 1.8 percent pace.  — Reuters