Asian shares mixed as investors look ahead to rate decisions

TOKYO – Asian shares were mixed Tuesday after a day of listless trading on Wall Street, as investors awaited signs on global interest rates.

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 added 0.2% to 21,360.15 in morning trading.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.5% to 6,618.20, while South Korea’s Kospi inched up 0.1% to 2,021.73.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was up nearly 0.1% at 26,703.44, while the Shanghai Composite lost 0.4% to 3,012.03.

On Wall Street, the S&P 500 ended virtually flat as losses in technology and health care stocks outweighed gains in financials and other sectors. The Russell 2000 index of smaller company stocks, which has lagged the S&P 500 this year, outpaced the rest of the market.

Investors are taking a shine to smaller company stocks in hopes that they’ll be better shielded from the fallout of the costly trade war between the U.S. and China than large multinationals.


The S&P 500 inched 0.28 points lower, or less than 0.1%, to 2,978.43. The index, which has finished higher the past two weeks, is within 1.6% of its all-time high set in late July. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 38.05 points, or 0.1%, to 26,835.51. The Nasdaq fell 15.64 points, or 0.2%, to 8,087.44. The Russell 2000 climbed 19.06 points, or 1.3%, to 1,524.23.

The broader market has bounced back the past two weeks following volatility brought on by the trade war as Washington and Beijing imposed new tariffs on more of each other’s imported goods. Investors worry the escalation of tariffs may be dampening global economic growth and threatening to nudge the United States into a recession.

Traders are hoping for a deal between the world’s two largest economies and were encouraged last week by news that talks will resume in October.

A mixed bag of economic data has also kept Wall Street focused on central banks and whether they will continue taking measures to shore up economic growth. On Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank doesn’t expect a recession and will take necessary actions to maintain growth.

Economists expect the Fed to cut interest rates when it meets next week.


Separately, the European Central Bank is expected to unveil new monetary stimulus measures on Thursday to help shore up the region’s economy.

“Markets look to be adrift ahead of the slew of events this week including the likes of the European Central Bank where further support for the markets is expected,” said Jingyi Pan, market strategist at IG in Singapore.

“As far as the risk sentiment is concerned, the improvement carries forth from the previous week in anticipation of the various central bank meetings.”

ENERGY:

Benchmark crude oil rose 42 cents to $58.27 a barrel. It rose $1.33 to $57.85 a barrel Monday. Brent crude oil, the international standard, gained 46 cents to $63.05 a barrel.

CURRENCIES:

The dollar rose to 107.39 Japanese yen from 106.96 yen on Monday. The euro strengthened to $1.1046 from $1.1037. /gsg

source: business.inquirer.net

Asian stock indexes mostly lower as oil prices sink

TOKYO  — Shares were mostly lower in Asia on Wednesday, as crude oil prices dipped and mainland Chinese markets were hit by sell-offs late in the day.

KEEPING SCORE: Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 edged up 0.2 percent to finish at 16,906.54 and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 added 0.5 percent to 5,216.00. But most other regional markets fell. South Korea’s Kospi fell 0.3 percent to 2,005.83. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 1.3 percent to 21,164.78, while the Shanghai Composite slipped 2.6 percent to 2,964.89, dipping by over 4 percent before recovering some of those losses.

OIL PRICES: Benchmark U.S. crude fell $1.00, or 2.4 percent, to $41.47 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. At one point it fell by 2.8 percent to $41.30 a barrel. It rose 84 cents on Tuesday. Brent crude, the international benchmark, slipped $1.02 cents to $43.01 a barrel in London.

EUROPE FOCUS: The European Central Bank’s governing council is meeting, and investors are closely watching for what President Mario Draghi might say at the news conference later this week. Doubts persist whether the stimulus measures the bank has taken are really working, such as cutting interest rates and expanding a government bond-buying.

THE QUOTE: “Sentiments will be driven by the ECB President Draghi when he speaks,” said Alex Wijaya, senior sales trader at CMC Markets in Singapore. “In his previous speech, Mr. Draghi hinted that the deposit rate won’t be cut further into negative territory. However with persistent low inflation and the euro now trading at six-month highs, Mr. Draghi could possibly backtrack on his previous statement and consider a further rate cut to fight deflationary pressure.”

source: business.inquirer.net

Global winds chill business optimism in Europe

FRANKFURT, Germany — Business confidence fell in Germany and France this month, increasing concern that the global market turmoil may be weighing on the economy of the 19-member euro currency union.

Germany’s closely watched Ifo confidence index fell to 105.7 points in February from 107.3 last month, the third decline in a row. France’s INSEE index dropped to 100 points in February from 102 in January.

The data released Tuesday bolsters the argument for the European Central Bank to expand its monetary stimulus efforts at its next meeting March 10.

The central bank is currently pumping 60 billion euros ($66 billion) per month in freshly printed money into the financial system through bond purchases in an attempt to push up weak inflation and support a modest recovery. The eurozone grew 0.3 percent in the last three months of last year; unemployment remains high at 10.4 percent.

In Germany, the eurozone’s largest economy, business executives’ view of current conditions improved but their outlook for the next half-year worsened significantly.

Economist Carsten Brzeski at ING-DiBa called the reading a “wake-up call.”

“Global events have finally reached German companies’ boardrooms,” he wrote in an email research note.

The euro fell in currency markets, from around $1.1040 to under $1.10 before rebounding slightly.

The German survey indicated executives share worries about the global economy that have sent financial markets lower recently. China’s economy is slowing down, with unpredictable consequences for the rest of the world, while low oil and commodity prices have hit emerging market economies that supply much of the world’s growth these days. Financial market turmoil itself could have an impact by making businesses cautious about risking more investment in production.

The Ifo index is valued as a guide to where the economy is headed. The survey is based on monthly responses from about 7,000 firms.

Germany, the biggest economy in the 19-country euro currency union, is enjoying low unemployment of 4.5 percent and steady growth of 0.3 percent in the fourth quarter of last year. While exports have slowed, spending by consumers and the government has picked up.

The French confidence index slipped due to declining confidence among retailers. Manufacturing held up, suggesting global headwinds were not yet severely affecting the country’s gradual recovery.

Analyst Chantana Sam at HSBC Global Research said the fall in retail confidence could suggest that the impact from the terror attacks that left 130 people dead in November was lingering more than expected. Retail confidence remains below the level seen before the attacks.

Analysts say the ECB could try to help the economy by increasing its bond-buying stimulus program. It could also cut the interest rate on deposits it takes from commercial banks, currently minus 0.3 percent. The negative rate is a drastic step aimed at pushing banks to lend money rather than let it pile up at the central bank’s super-safe overnight deposit facility. The negative rate has also helped push the euro lower against other currencies, helping exporters. TVJ

source: business.inquirer.net

Europe rejects Greek bailout extension after referendum shock

BRUSSELS, Belgium - Greece hurtled towards default and a possible euro exit Saturday after Europe responded to the leftist government's announcement of a surprise referendum by refusing to extend Athens's desperately needed bailout.

The most dramatic day in the five-month crisis saw long lines of people queuing at cash machines in Greece after the announcement by radical Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, amid fears of a bank run and possible capital controls.

In Brussels, Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis had asked eurozone colleagues to stretch the aid plan for a few days past its June 30 expiry date and until after the July 5 referendum vote on a creditor reform plan, but they unanimously rejected his appeal.

The move leaves debt-laden Athens struggling to meet a crucial 1.5 billion euro IMF debt payment on Tuesday, putting Greece's place in the single currency at risk and threatening the entire post-war European project.

"The Greek government has broken off the process, has rejected the reform proposal and is now putting the question in a negative way to the Greek people, which is an unfair way of putting the question," Eurogroup president Jeroen Dijsselbloem told a press conference.

"Given that situation, I think we might conclude that however regretful, the program will expire Tuesday night," the Dutch minister said.

Underscoring Greece's perilous position in the currency union, Dijsselbloem said the other 18 eurozone finance ministers would now hold fresh talks without Greece present to discuss the "consequences" and "prepare for what's needed to ensure the stability of eurozone remains at its high level."

Greece fears ‘permanent’ damage

The Greek parliament will vote on whether to go ahead with the referendum at midnight  (2100 GMT), after an address by Tsipras.

The outspoken Varoufakis warned that the decision could permanently damage the single currency, formed in a bid to bring unity to a once fragmented continent.

"The refusal of the Eurogroup today to endorse our request for an extension of this agreement for a few days or a couple of weeks ...will certainly damage the credibility for the Eurogroup as a democratic union and I am very much afraid the damage will be permanent," Varoufakis said.

But he said he was "still fighting" for a deal, and insisted the radical leftist Syriza government would "honor the verdict of the Greek people" in the referendum.

A Eurogroup statement issued after the meeting said it was "supported by all members... except the Greek member."

Greece's negotiations with its international creditors that have dragged on since January, when Tsipras's Syriza party first took power on a promise of ending austerity after two EU-IMF bailout programs since 2010, worth 240 billion euros.

Syriza has repeatedly refused to make cuts to pensions and changes to the VAT system demanded by Greece's bailout monitors: the European Commission, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund.

A week of intensive talks in Brussels ended with Greece's creditors on Friday offering Athens a five-month, 12-billion-euro ($13.4-billion) extension of its rescue program, on condition it committed to fresh reforms.

Germany's hardline pro-austerity finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said the Greek government had "ended the negotiations unilaterally" and rejected that offer.

ATM queues

The European Central Bank will now play a crucial role in ensuring Greece's banks have the cash to open on Monday, and two top Tsipras aides were meeting ECB head Mario Draghi in Brussels on Saturday.

The governing council of the ECB was also reported to be meeting on Sunday, and was "closely monitoring developments", the bank said.

Greece was stunned by the referendum announcement by radical leader Tsipras, which came just hours after he had been at a summit with European leaders in a bid to end the crisis.

"The people must decide free of any blackmail," the 40-year-old prime minister said in a televised address to the nation late on Friday.

"We were asked to implement austerity measures... allowing the deregulation of the labor market, pension cuts, and an increase in VAT on food products, targeting the humiliation of an entire people," Tsipras said in his address.

Queues built up at cash machines in Athens. In Greece's second city, Thessaloniki, some banks have run out of money, according to an AFP reporter, while a National bank branch had a queue of 50 people.

"I have a shop. I came to the bank to withdraw as much money as I can in order to cover the needs of my shop for next week," 42-year-old Maria Kalpakidou told AFP.

Demand at petrol stations was also said to have "heightened" but there were no fuel shortage problems, according to state news agency ANA.

Draghi has been keeping the Greek banking system alive with near-daily cash infusions as it is frozen out of the capital markets.

The Eurogroup will now discuss worst case scenarios, ranging from a Greek default next week to a possible exit from the eurozone and even, as suggested by the Greek central bank, the 28-nation European Union. — Agence France-Presse

source: gmanetwork.com