Candy Crush-maker King Digital sees up to $7.6 billion IPO valuation

King Digital Entertainment Plc, the maker of hit mobile phone game Candy Crush Saga, expects to be worth up to $7.6 billion when it goes public this month as the Irish company looks to take advantage of strong demand for technology investments.

The successful IPO of Twitter Inc in November and a surge in Facebook Inc's share price have fueled speculation that a string of technology firms could come to market, including music-sharing service Spotify, lodging service AirBnB and payments company Square.

King should also get a boost in its U.S. initial public offering from a surge in shares of digital coupon company Coupons.com Inc after it went public on Friday. Shares of Coupons.com doubled after being priced above the company's planned IPO range.

King Digital said it expected to price its IPO of 22.2 million shares at between $21 and $24 per share. At the top of this range, the company would be valued at about $7.6 billion.

The offering is scheduled to be priced on March 25 and the stock will start trading on March 26, two underwriters told Reuters.

The Dublin-based company will sell 15.5 million shares in the offering, while stockholders, including Apax Ventures, will sell 6.7 million shares, the company said in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday. (r.reuters.com/bar57v)

King is hoping to benefit from a shift towards mobile platforms, social networks and app stores. The company derived 73 percent of gross bookings from mobile users in the fourth quarter ended December 31.

In February, an average of 144 million daily active users played the company's games more than 1.4 billion times per day, the filing showed.

The King IPO will raise as much as $532.8 million at the top-end of the planned range. It filed for a $500 million placeholder in February.

Entities related to Apax will own 44.2 percent of the company following the offering, according to the IPO filing. CEO Riccardo Zacconi, who has led the company since it was founded in 2003 in Sweden, will have a 9.5 percent stake.

Candy Crush Saga, which involves moving candies to make a line of three in the same color, was the most downloaded free app of 2013 and the year's top revenue-grossing app.

It has been downloaded more than 500 million times since its launch in 2012. The basic games are free, but players must pay for add-ons or extra lives.

King offers 180 games in 14 languages through mobile phones, Facebook and its own website, but is heavily reliant on Candy Crush, which brings in about three-quarters of its revenues.

The company said it has applied to list its shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "KING".

JP Morgan, Credit Suisse and BofA Merrill Lynch are lead underwriters for the offering. — Reuters

source: gmanetwork.com

11 Common Investment Mistakes To Avoid While Investing In Stocks

There is only one rule to be successful while investing in stocks and that is “to not lose money!” Despite the information overload these days, people still make mistakes investing in stocks and lose money. I am not an exception in this case as I too made all of the mistakes that I have listed below, at one time or another, while investing in stocks earlier in my investment life. I am sharing here those experiences so that somebody else could learn from my mistakes. So here are those 11 common investment mistakes to avoid while investing in stocks.

Borrowing to Invest in Stock Markets

 

We hear success stories about making easy money in the stock markets from our relatives, friends, stock broker etc. Often we fail to know that only success stories are propagandized and failure stories deliberately have been hidden from us! By the time we hear those success stories, we might have already invested our spare cash in some other assets like real estate, gold etc. Greed spares none! We become enthused. To get the seed money, we would either pledge those assets or would borrow new unsecured debt. To be successful in the stock market, we need to have a long-term view and some cash that doesn’t need to service debt, money that we do not need for at least the next five or ten years. If we borrow to invest, interest adds up monthly to our investment costs. So we will be investing under a compulsion to find more returns than what we pay out as interest. That drags down our chances of success. Ultimately we would end up making only our lender rich!

Investing in Startups and IPOs

 

In order to ascertain the investment worthiness and to arrive at a rational investment decision based on some conclusions, we should look for a business or a company that has at least withstood one economic cycle (business cycle). An economic cycle is usually 8 to 11 years long. Based on how the company or the business withstood tough times of an economic cycle, we make an assumption that it will withstand in the same manner at tough times down the lane in the next 5 or 10 years. Fragile companies and business ideas hardly survive an economic cycle and wither away in a matter of years. Eg., the Internet companies of the 1990s that went bust along with the dot com bubble. So any company without a history or track record is undoubtedly not investment worthy howsoever brilliant the business idea or marvelous the company is. To preserve our capital, it is better to go for OPOs (old public offering) at a discounted price than going for IPOs (initial public offering) or startups.

Heeding to Advices, Tips, and Stock Market Predictions

 

Investing heeding to the stock tips, advices, and stock market predictions is the next big mistake that most of us make. You get a ton of them; from your stock broker, on the Internet, in the dailies, magazines, TVs etc. Never rely on such stock market predictions to invest your money. Heeding to those stock tips outright, even if the information is from paid sources, will rip you off your money because those who make those predictions, those who propagate those tips and advices have their own underlying vested interests in making you buy or sell. You should be able to substantiate yourself the reasons why you invest in a stock or why you sell a stock. Else, you would end up making only your stock broker rich.

Investing in Actively Managed Funds and Through Money Managers

 

Most people spend maximum time and effort earning money but hardly any time managing and growing it. If you want to become rich, you should be able to manage your money on your own. You should learn how to invest rather than depending on an investment manager (portfolio manager). It is not rocket science. All of us are not born intelligent, we learn by reading and listening. Why not apply that here too? If you still cannot find time to research about individual companies, investing in an index fund regularly over time should fetch you average market performance. The results still should be far better than an actively managed fund run by the so called pundits who eat 2% a year of your funds as fees. If the fund managers have that secrets of making you rich, why not they themselves become rich using those secrets rather selling you the investment products? So have in mind that no one else could be a better money manager for your money rather than yourself. Find time and will to make it on your own. Do investments in the stock market on your own or you would end up making only your money manager rich.



 Looking to Time the Market


Another mistake that investors often make is trying to time the market. You either sit sucking the thumb expecting the market to fall more for you to start buying where as Mr. Market does the opposite or you end up selling too soon expecting the price to fall thereafter. Sometimes, people don’t sell at all even after the P/E having run into exorbitant numbers! I would sell my business if some potential buyer or if Mr. Market expresses interest to buy my business for an upfront payment of 40 or 50 years of profit. I buy and sell stocks as if I would buy or sell a business. Anytime is a good time to invest, as long as you are able to find a stock (business) that you believe is undervalued and you have the patience to sit tight. If the price falls below your purchase price, be greedy, try to buy more diverting all your cash flows! Time and markets wait for none. In the short term, the stock markets act like a voting machine where as in the long term, they act like a weighing machine. Only you need to identify when it is a voting machine and when it is a weighing machine.

Investing in a Company with Questionable Management Integrity

 

Investing in a company that has questionable management integrity is like giving your money to a thief for safekeeping. So the companies that care a damn about shareholder wealth maximization, minority shareholder interests, and labor interests are needed to be avoided to preserve your capital while investing in stocks. We have seen a lot of companies vanishing into air along with shareholder money. Honesty is a very expensive gift; don’t expect it from cheap people. If you are still compelled to invest in such companies, donate the money to charity rather than betting on thieves!

Buying into Turnaround Stories

 

Often you hear turnaround stories in the market but they may be the propaganda by those who are already trapped in the shares of those companies. These companies may end up without turning around at all. Transforming a multi-million or a multi-billion company is terribly difficult. Only exceptional people do it and failures are more common than success stories. So unless you have thorough evidence that the information is true to your satisfaction, investing in such turnaround stories will prove to be a blunder. Buy turnaround stories on proven results, not faith.

Investing in a Company That has no Competitive Advantage

 

Inflation adversely affects the purchasing power of consumers. If a company is finding it tough to pass on the rising costs to the consumers due to reasons like stiff competition, it is ought to wither away in due course. It is here where the competitive advantage of a company over the other companies in the same industry, a widening economic moat which the competitors are unable to break, comes to the advantage. Buying a company that has got no competitive advantage puts your capital at risk.

Investing in a Changing Technology Company

 

Technology is changing at a fast pace in today’s world. We are seeing personal computers and laptops giving way to tablets and smart phones. We saw phonograph records giving way to magnetic tape cassettes which in turn gave way to CDs and DVDs and now to pen drives. Same is with fat TVs to flat TVs, film photography to film-less photography. All these made a lot of companies go bust, belly up. Eg. The Gramophone Company, Kodak etc. Who knows what is in store for tomorrow? So why should we risk our money investing in an industry where the technology is constantly changing?

Investing in a Business Outside Your Circle of Competence

 

People get attracted to investing in glittery businesses that seem attractive from outside but fail to create wealth. For e.g., airline business. If you look at the airline stocks globally, they have little history of creating wealth for the shareholders. The net wealth creation in airline business since Orville Wright flew his first flight at Kittyhawk in 1903 has been next to zero. However, as I said earlier the glamour of the business keeps attracting new investors to set up airlines or to invest in existing airlines. It has evaporated capital over the past century like no other business but people still keep coming back to it and put fresh money in. So study the business model before investing in a company. Invest in a company that is within your circle of competence, invest in a simple business that you know the best rather than succumbing to the glitter and glamour surrounding a business.

Investing in a Debt Laden Company

 

Debt, especially huge, is a major concern both at an individual level as well as at a company level. It is like trying to run with your legs tied. If a company becomes solvent, creditors have utmost rights on the cash and assets of a company than the shareholders, though the money has the same value irrespective of whether it is brought in by the creditors or the shareholders! So investing in a heavily debt laden company is nothing but suicidal! Why should we want to risk our capital, hard saved money, investing in such a company?
Investment mistakes are abound and aplenty. Should you screen your stock pick for these common investing mistakes before you make an investment and buy it at half the price below its intrinsic value, undoubtedly you should be successful with your strategy investing in the stock markets. All these investment mistakes have made me prudent but with a cost. That doesn’t necessarily mean that you too should lose money to learn these lessons. Learn from the mistakes of others because you can’t live long enough to make them all yourselves!

source: mtherald.com

  

Facebook plans to raise $10.6B in mega IPO

SAN FRANCISCO—Facebook Inc. aims to raise about $10.6 billion in Silicon Valley's largest IPO, dwarfing the coming-out parties of tech companies like Google Inc. and granting the world's largest social network a market value close to Amazon.com's.

The eight-year-old social network that began as Mark Zuckerberg's Harvard dorm room project indicated an initial public offering price range of between $28 and $35 a share on Thursday, which would value the company at $77 billion to $96 billion.

The size of the IPO reflects the company's growth and bullish expectations about its money-making potential as a hub for everything from advertising to commerce.

"We certainly haven't ever seen a tech IPO on this grandiose a scale," said Lise Buyer, a principal with the IPO advisory firm Class V Group.

Buyer, who worked on Google's 2004 IPO, said the question about a company "that's already this big and that is raising this much money is how many of the glory days of growth are in the past versus how many are ahead."

Facebook stands to raise as much as $12 billion at the upper end of its planned range. If an over-allotment or "greenshoe" option is triggered, the company could sweep up a maximum of $13.6 billion, according to a Thursday prospectus.

Facebook is only getting about half, or $5.6 billion, of the estimated $10.6 billion that it would raise at the midpoint of its planned IPO range. About $4.9 billon will go to some existing shareholders.

Facebook's stock could begin trading as soon as May 18, according to a road show schedule obtained by Reuters. The offering's price range can be adjusted depending on Wall Street's response during the road show.

Investors are expected to flock to the highly anticipated IPO, although there have been growing concerns about the social network's longer-term growth and Zuckerberg's majority control.

Facebook will trade at 13 to 16 times the revenue that GreenCrest Capital analyst Max Wolff believes it will generate this year. By comparison, Google, the world's dominant Internet search engine, currently trades at 5.5 to 6 times expected 2012 revenue, he said.

Google's valuation was higher when it went public in 2004, though Facebook's IPO valuation is still higher than Google's was back then, Wolff noted.

But some observers said the rich premium was unlikely to deter investors.

"People are going to be very comfortable with this valuation," said Sam Schwerin of Millennium Technology Value Partners, which owns Facebook shares worth roughly $200 million. The firm is not selling in the IPO.

"A price range of $28 to $35 will be a relief to some people who are concerned that they may try to take the highest possible price because of high demand," he said.

"The amount being raised is noteworthy. Selling stockholders are raising about $5 billion in the IPO, which is a lot."

Facebook executives are due to hit the road on Monday, presenting their investment case to audiences. They will start in New York, go to other major cities such as Chicago and Boston, and end up on Facebook's home turf in Menlo Park, California, according to the schedule.

Zuckerberg is expected to participate in the two-week road show, a source has said, although chief operating officer Sheryl Sandberg and finance chief David Ebersman will lead the briefings.

Tantalizing Wall Street

Zuckerberg's involvement in the road show will be key for investors with concerns about Facebook's long-term strategy and money-making potential, said Brian Wieser, an analyst with Pivotal Research Group.

Zuckerberg's control of the company–which was underscored when he orchestrated the $1 billion acquisition of mobile app maker Instagram last month–means that investors need to "get comfortable" with the 27-year-old CEO, said Wieser.

Last week, Facebook reported its first quarter-to-quarter revenue slide in at least two years, a sign that the social network's sizzling growth may be cooling just as it prepares to go public. Some observers have also flagged the company's lack of revenue on mobile devices such as smartphones as an area of concern.

Dressed in a gray t-shirt and jeans, the copper-haired Zuckerberg appeared in a 31-minute road show video posted online on Thursday. In the video, Zuckerberg predicted that in five years almost every software app would be integrated with Facebook.

Facebook generated the lion's share of its $3.7 billion in revenue last year from online advertising. It also collects fees when consumers use its special Credits currency to purchase virtual goods in social games such as Zynga's Farmville. The company has said it may expand the use of its payment business beyond games.

Facebook–which plans to list its stock on the Nasdaq under the ticker "FB"–has long tantalized investors with the prospect of a mega IPO.

As a private company, shares of Facebook have traded briskly in secondary markets for the past couple of years, as investors sought to get a piece of the fast-growing company ahead of its expected IPO.

The IPO price range indicated in Facebook's filing on Thursday would value the company a hair below the level it has traded at in the secondary markets in recent months, with some trades valuing the company at slightly more than $100 billion.

But some investors think Facebook, which touts 900 million users worldwide, is setting itself a fairly conservative target.

"The price range may be tactical. They will likely walk the range up," Schwerin argued.

Facebook plans to sell 337.4 million shares, or 12.3 percent of the company, in the offering. The capital-raising target far outstrips big Internet IPOs that came before it. Google raised just shy of $2 billion in 2004, while last year Groupon tapped investors for $700 million and Zynga raked in $1 billion.

At the top end of the IPO range, Facebook would rival the market value of Amazon.com and Cisco Systems Inc., which are worth just over $100 billion, and surpass the combined market value of older technology companies Hewlett-Packard Co. and Dell Inc.

Among existing shareholders, the largest seller in the IPO will be venture capital firm Accel Partners, which will make about $1.2 billion assuming the shares sell at the $31.5 mid-point. Zuckerberg is selling the next largest chunk of shares, worth a little under $1 billion.

Facebook said that a "substantial majority" of the proceeds from Zuckerberg's stock sale will be used to satisfy taxes he will incur from exercising his options.

In its prospectus, Facebook said the "lock-up" period, during which employees cannot sell shares after the IPO, would range from 151 days to 181 days.

Facebook also added two new underwriters, including online broker E*Trade Securities. The broker caters to retail clients who some have speculated may try to pile into the IPO.

"No doubt Facebook doesn't want to upset the average mom and pop out there," said Craig Huber, research analyst, at independent research firm Huber Research Partners. —Reuters

source: gmanetwork.com