Global stock markets mixed as oil price rally fizzles

SEOUL, South Korea — Global stock markets were mixed on Wednesday as investors awaited more policy details from U.S. president-elect Donald Trump. Oil prices retreated, snapping an overnight rally.

KEEPING SCORE: European markets started on a weaker note with Britain’s FTSE 100 down 0.1 percent to 6,783.36. Germany’s DAX lost 0.2 percent to 10,710.68 while France’s CAC 40 was nearly flat at 4,535.83. Futures augured a tepid start on Wall Street with Dow futures down 0.1 percent and S&P futures also dipping 0.1 percent.

ASIA’S DAY: Asian markets finished mostly higher. Japan’s Nikkei jumped 1.1 percent to 17,862.21 and South Korea’s Kospi gained 0.6 percent to 1,979.65. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index closed 0.2 percent lower at 22,280.53, while China’s Shanghai Composite Index edged 0.1 percent lower to 3,205.06. Australia’s S&P/ASX was nearly unchanged at 5,327.70, while benchmarks in Taiwan and Southeast Asia were mixed.

ANALYST’S TAKE: “International markets showed signs of pausing to wait on evidence of policy specifics before extending moves in the direction of the ‘Trump themes’ of fiscal stimulus and inflation,” Ric Spooner, chief market analyst at CMC Markets, said in a daily commentary.

OIL: Oil prices rallied overnight on hopes that OPEC members would agree to lower output when they meet later this month. They wavered between gains and losses before turning lower again. Benchmark U.S. crude fell 41 cents to $45.40 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract closed up $2.49, or 5.7 percent, to $45.81 per barrel on Tuesday. Brent crude, used to price international oils, lost 28 cents to $46.67 a barrel in London.

CURRENCIES: The dollar strengthened to 109.46 yen from 108.94 yen while the euro fell slightly to $1.0724 from $1.0731. TVJ

source: business.inquirer.net

British vote on leaving the EU rocks world financial markets

SEOUL, South Korea — World financial markets were rocked Friday by Britain’s unprecedented vote to leave the European Union, with stock markets and oil prices crashing and the pound hitting its lowest level in three decades.

The uncharted, unexpected path of a European Union without Britain sparked the sell-offs, with more jitters expected as global markets try to digest the shock result.

Tokyo stocks plummeted about 8 percent, their biggest fall since 2008, while South Korea’s Kospi tumbled about 3 percent. Britain’s FTSE 100 futures tanked 8.3 percent.

Crude oil prices and US futures also took a big hit. The British pound plummeted more than 10 percent in six hours while the yen surged about 3 percent to the US dollar as investors seeking safety snapped up the Japanese currency.

By early afternoon in Asia, a tally by the BBC showed Britain had voted to leave the 28-nation European Union by about a 52 percent to 48 percent margin.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 plunged 8.3 percent to 14,897.32 while South Korea’s Kospi sank 3.4 percent to 1,918.70. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index tumbled 4.8 percent to 19,866.20 and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell 3.4 percent to 5,012.20. Stocks in Shanghai, Taiwan, Sydney and Southeast Asian countries were sharply lower.

US futures took a dive. Dow futures fell 3.4 percent and S&P futures nosedived 5 percent.

“Financial markets throughout the night have been chaotic to say the least and this may continue as the day progresses,” said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda in London. “All eyes will now be on central banks around the world to see how they respond to these market developments, particularly the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan.”

On Thursday, Wall Street finished with rallies as pre-poll forecasts showed that Britain would keep the EU membership. Asian stock markets opened the day higher but the mood turned sour as results started to show that the “leave” vote would win. As the results increasingly pointed to the EU exit, investors dumped stocks and other risky assets.

The results sent the pound on a wild ride. It rose to its highest point for the year of $1.50 before tumbling more than 10 percent to a low of $1.3303, its lowest level since 1985.

In other currencies, the dollar fell to 101.51 yen from 104.80 yen while the euro weakened to $1.097 from $1.132.

Benchmark US crude plummeted 6.4 percent, or $3.17, to $46.94 per barrel in New York. Brent Crude, the benchmark for international oil price, fell 6.1 percent, or $3.11, to $47.80 per barrel in London.

source: newsinfo.inquirer.net

World stocks up as Britain leans towards EU remain vote

HONG KONG — Asia led a rally in global markets Monday, building on gains at the end of last week as polls suggest Britain’s upcoming referendum will result in the country staying in the European Union.

The average of the last six British European Union referendum polls put the Remain and Leave camps neck-and-neck at 50-50, excluding undecided voters, according to the What UK Thinks website.

Markets across Asia and Europe slid early last week as polls showed the Leave side a few percentage points for the June 23 vote, but showed some improvement Friday as the Remain camp gained ground.

The upswing comes after the International Monetary Fund warned that a Brexit vote could deal a “negative and substantial” blow to the British economy, adding that the “contagion effects” of a vote to leave the bloc could hit markets worldwide.

Tokyo closed up 2.34 percent, adding to gains of one percent at the end of last week to finish at 15,965.30. Hong Kong was up 1.69 percent by close, its steepest gain in two weeks.

After ending the morning slightly down, Shanghai eked out gains to close 0.13 percent, or 3.70 points, up at 2,888.81. The Shenzhen Composite Index, which tracks stocks on China’s second exchange, rose 0.44 percent.

European markets rose strongly at the start of trading with London’s benchmark FTSE 100 index jumping 2.10 percent, and Frankfurt and Paris up 2.30 and 2.60 percent respectively.

Gold was down 0.38 percent Monday, having hit a near two-year peak on Friday as investors sought the commodity on fears of the impact of a “leave” vote on the world economy.

‘Risk-on move’

The yen, often seen as a safe haven, eased slightly to 104.56 to the dollar in afternoon trade in Tokyo, from 104.19 yen in New York Friday as the “Stay” camp appeared to gain strength in the polls.

“We are seeing a risk-on move after the latest Brexit poll,” Niv Dagan, executive director at Peak Asset Management LLC in Melbourne, told Bloomberg.

“It may be short-lived and volatility is likely to remain high until Thursday’s vote. This really could still go either way.”

Oil prices extended gains on a weaker dollar, driving up demand for the commodity.

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for July delivery was up 77 cents to $48.75 a barrel, while international benchmark North Sea Brent for August delivery was up 90 cents, trading at $50.07 a barrel.

Key figures around 0830 GMT

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 2.34 percent at 15,965.30 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.13 percent at 2,888.81 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng: UP 1.69 percent at 20510.20 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1342 from $1.1280 late Friday

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.4623 from $1.4348

Dollar/yen: UP at 104.56 yen from 104.19 yen

New York – DOW: DOWN 0.33 percent at 17,675.16 (close)

London – FTSE 100: UP 2.10 percent at 6,147.48

source: business.inquirer.net

Global stocks surge as investors welcome Fed assurance

MANILA, Philippines — Global stocks surged Wednesday as investors welcomed the latest signal from the U.S. Federal Reserve that it will move slowly to raise interest rates. Japan’s Nikkei 225 bucked the trend and closed lower.

KEEPING SCORE: Britain’s FTSE 100 rose 1.4 percent in early trading to 6,193.27. Germany’s DAX climbed 1.4 percent to 10,024.07, while France’s CAC 40 gained 1.4 percent to 4,429.74. U.S. futures augured a positive opening on Wall Street, with Dow futures up 0.5 percent to 17,628 and S&P futures rising 0.5 percent to 2,057.

ASIA’S DAY: Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 lost 1.3 percent, closing at 16,878.96, on the continuing strong yen and the trade ministry’s announcement of a 6.2 percent month-on-month drop in industrial production in February. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index climbed 2.2 percent to 20,803.39. China’s Shanghai Composite surged 2.8 percent to 3,000.65, while South Korea’s KOSPI rose 0.4 percent to 2,002.14. Australia’s S&P ASX 200 was up 0.1 percent at 5,010.30. Southeast Asian markets also rose.

ASIA’S ECONOMY: Softer growth prospects for China and a weak recovery in major industrial economies are expected to push down economic growth in developing Asia to 5.7 percent in 2016 and 2017, below previous projections, according to an Asian Development Bank report released Wednesday. The region’s economy grew 5.9 percent in 2015. The Asian Development Outlook 2016 said China’s economic growth is seen moderating to 6.5 percent this year from 6.9 percent last year and to 6.3 percent next year. Slower exports, a falling labor supply and supply-side reforms are reshaping the world’s second-largest economy toward more domestic consumption and a further reduction in excess industrial capacity, it said.

THE QUOTE: “September is now the only date the markets are pricing with a better than 50 percent probability of a (U.S.) rate hike,” said IG market analyst Angus Nicholson. “A weaker U.S. dollar not only benefits the dollar-denominated price of many commodities, which are a key export for most emerging markets, but it also lowers the burden of U.S. dollar-denominated debt in a range of emerging markets.”

ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. crude gained 71 cents, rising to $39.00 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract shed $1.11, or 2.8 percent, to $38.28 a barrel on Tuesday. Brent crude, used to price international oils, was up 60 cents at $40.45 a barrel in London.

CURRENCIES: The dollar declined to 112.23 yen from 112.77 yen. The euro rose to $1.1315 from $1.1287. TVJ

source: business.inquirer.net